########################################################### # Epicurve symptom onset of hospitalised cases in Osiris data # Rt development over time # corrected for SO to first report of hospital admission # from historic Osiris downloads # 16-04-2020 ___UITZONDERINGSGROND_2___ ########################################################### library(tidyverse) library(lubridate) library(cowplot) source("/___UITZONDERINGSGROND_6___functions_Osiris_nowcast.r") # get all case data files from Osiris files <- list.files("/___UITZONDERINGSGROND_6___Previous", full.names = TRUE) files <- c(files, list.files("/___UITZONDERINGSGROND_6___Geschoond", full.names = TRUE)) files <- files[grepl(files, pattern = "rds")] files <- tibble(file_name = files, date = files %>% str_extract_all(pattern = "(Data_[0-9]+)") %>% unlist %>% gsub(pattern = "Data_", replacement = "") %>% as.Date(format = "%Y%m%d"), time = files %>% file.info %>% pull(ctime)) report_date <- as.Date("2020-05-15") report_date <- today() dataOsiris <- files %>% filter(date == report_date) %>% filter(time == max(time)) %>% # get most recent file (if multiple files exist) pull(file_name) %>% read_rds() nowcast_adm <- get_nowcast_Osiris(var_name = "NCOVdat1ezkhopn", type = "hosp", end_date = report_date) epicurve <- extract_totcurve_Osiris(data = dataOsiris, IC = FALSE, report_date = report_date, now_cast = nowcast_adm) SOtoAdm <- get_symptomonset2admission_Osiris(IC = FALSE, report_date = report_date) epicurve <- calculate_Ru_Osiris(epicurve, SOtoAdm = SOtoAdm) plot_Reff_Osiris(epicurve, caseReff = TRUE, IC = FALSE) plot_grid(plot_totcurve_Osiris(epicurve = epicurve, IC = FALSE), plot_Reff_Osiris(epicurve %>% mutate(caseR = ifelse(dates > report_date - 14, NA, caseR)), caseR = TRUE, IC = FALSE) + labs(subtitle = NULL), ncol = 1, align = "hv") ggsave(filename = paste0("/___UITZONDERINGSGROND_6___epicurveReff_Osiris_ZKH_", as.Date(report_date), ".png"), width = 7, height = 6, dpi = 300) # Per provincie provincies <- unique(dataOsiris$Provincie) epicurves <- tibble() for(provincie in provincies[4:12]) { print(provincie) AdmNowcast <- get_nowcast_Osiris_province(province = provincie, var_name = "NCOVdat1ezkhopn", type = "hosp", start_date = as.Date("2020-03-13"), end_date = report_date) epicurve <- extract_totcurve_Osiris(data = dataOsiris %>% filter(Provincie == provincie), IC = FALSE, report_date = report_date, now_cast = AdmNowcast) SOtoAdm <- get_symptomonset2admission_Osiris(IC = FALSE, report_date = report_date) epicurve <- calculate_Ru_Osiris(epicurve, SOtoAdm = SOtoAdm) epicurve <- epicurve %>% mutate(provincie = provincie) epicurves <- bind_rows(epicurves, epicurve) } plot_totcurve_Osiris(epicurve = epicurves) + facet_wrap(facets = vars(provincie)) + guides(fill = FALSE, color = FALSE) ggsave(filename = paste0("/___UITZONDERINGSGROND_6___epicurve_Osiris_ZKH_provinces", as.Date(report_date), ".png"), width = 15, height = 9, dpi = 300) plot_Reff_Osiris(epicurve = epicurves %>% mutate(caseR = ifelse(dates > report_date - 14, NA, caseR)), IC = FALSE) + facet_wrap(facets = vars(provincie)) ggsave(filename = paste0("/___UITZONDERINGSGROND_6___Reff_Osiris_ZKH_provinces", as.Date(report_date), ".png"), width = 15, height = 9, dpi = 300)